Eredivisie

PSV vs Willem II Tilburg prediction

Match forecast

OutcomeProbability
PSV win (1)83%
Draw (X)11%
Willem II Tilburg win (2)6%

The model leans towards a PSV win at 83%. The single most likely scoreline is 3–0. These are estimates from past results, not certainties.

Over 2.5 goals
76%
Over 1.5 goals
91%
Both teams to score
46%
Expected goals
3.3 – 0.7

How this forecast is made

Probabilities come from each team's recent results, turned into expected goals and run through a Poisson model. Read how it works, including where it falls short.

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Football predictions are probability estimates and may change as data arrives. 18+ only. Play responsibly.