Eredivisie
AFC Ajax vs AZ prediction
Match forecast
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| AFC Ajax win (1) | 47% |
| Draw (X) | 25% |
| AZ win (2) | 29% |
The model leans towards a AFC Ajax win at 47%. The single most likely scoreline is 1–1. These are estimates from past results, not certainties.
- Over 2.5 goals
- 64%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 85%
- Both teams to score
- 66%
- Expected goals
- 1.8 – 1.5
How this forecast is made
Probabilities come from each team's recent results, turned into expected goals and run through a Poisson model. Read how it works, including where it falls short.
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Football predictions are probability estimates and may change as data arrives. 18+ only. Play responsibly.