Chelsea FC vs Manchester United FC prediction

Match forecast

The model leans towards a Chelsea FC win at 64%. The single most likely scoreline is 2–1. These are estimates from past results, not certainties.

Over 2.5 goals

80%

Over 1.5 goals

93%

Both teams to score

70%

Expected goals

3.0 – 1.3

How this forecast is made

Probabilities come from each team's recent results, turned into expected goals and run through a Poisson model. Read how it works, including where it falls short.

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