Premier League
Manchester City FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC prediction
Manchester City FC0–1Brighton & Hove Albion FCFull time
Our pre-match forecast
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Manchester City FC win (1) | 33% |
| Draw (X) | 22% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion FC win (2) | 45% |
The model leans towards a Brighton & Hove Albion FC win at 45%. The single most likely scoreline is 1–2. These are estimates from past results, not certainties.
The most likely outcome did happen. Every graded forecast, hits and misses, is on the results page.
How this forecast is made
Probabilities come from each team's recent results, turned into expected goals and run through a Poisson model. Read how it works, including where it falls short.
Football predictions are probability estimates and may change as data arrives. 18+ only. Play responsibly.