UEFA Champions League

Villarreal CF vs Paris Saint-Germain FC prediction

Match forecast

OutcomeProbability
Villarreal CF win (1)31%
Draw (X)23%
Paris Saint-Germain FC win (2)46%

The model leans towards a Paris Saint-Germain FC win at 46%. The single most likely scoreline is 1–1. These are estimates from past results, not certainties.

Over 2.5 goals
74%
Over 1.5 goals
91%
Both teams to score
74%
Expected goals
1.8 – 2.1

How this forecast is made

Probabilities come from each team's recent results, turned into expected goals and run through a Poisson model. Read how it works, including where it falls short.

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Football predictions are probability estimates and may change as data arrives. 18+ only. Play responsibly.