Serie A

US Lecce vs Genoa CFC prediction

Match forecast

OutcomeProbability
US Lecce win (1)42%
Draw (X)30%
Genoa CFC win (2)29%

The model leans towards a US Lecce win at 42%. The single most likely scoreline is 1–1. These are estimates from past results, not certainties.

Over 2.5 goals
35%
Over 1.5 goals
64%
Both teams to score
43%
Expected goals
1.2 – 1.0

How this forecast is made

Probabilities come from each team's recent results, turned into expected goals and run through a Poisson model. Read how it works, including where it falls short.

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Football predictions are probability estimates and may change as data arrives. 18+ only. Play responsibly.