Primeira Liga

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs FC Alverca prediction

Match forecast

OutcomeProbability
Sport Lisboa e Benfica win (1)63%
Draw (X)20%
FC Alverca win (2)17%

The model leans towards a Sport Lisboa e Benfica win at 63%. The single most likely scoreline is 2–1. These are estimates from past results, not certainties.

Over 2.5 goals
74%
Over 1.5 goals
90%
Both teams to score
68%
Expected goals
2.6 – 1.3

How this forecast is made

Probabilities come from each team's recent results, turned into expected goals and run through a Poisson model. Read how it works, including where it falls short.

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Football predictions are probability estimates and may change as data arrives. 18+ only. Play responsibly.