UEFA Champions League

PAE AEK vs Real Madrid CF prediction

Match forecast

OutcomeProbability
PAE AEK win (1)31%
Draw (X)24%
Real Madrid CF win (2)44%

The model leans towards a Real Madrid CF win at 44%. The single most likely scoreline is 1–1. These are estimates from past results, not certainties.

Over 2.5 goals
64%
Over 1.5 goals
85%
Both teams to score
66%
Expected goals
1.5 – 1.8

How this forecast is made

Probabilities come from each team's recent results, turned into expected goals and run through a Poisson model. Read how it works, including where it falls short.

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Football predictions are probability estimates and may change as data arrives. 18+ only. Play responsibly.