Ligue 1

Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC prediction

Match forecast

OutcomeProbability
Olympique de Marseille win (1)45%
Draw (X)22%
Toulouse FC win (2)33%

The model leans towards a Olympique de Marseille win at 45%. The single most likely scoreline is 2–2. These are estimates from past results, not certainties.

Over 2.5 goals
84%
Over 1.5 goals
95%
Both teams to score
81%
Expected goals
2.4 – 2.2

How this forecast is made

Probabilities come from each team's recent results, turned into expected goals and run through a Poisson model. Read how it works, including where it falls short.

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Football predictions are probability estimates and may change as data arrives. 18+ only. Play responsibly.