Primeira Liga

Moreirense FC vs CF Estrela da Amadora prediction

Match forecast

OutcomeProbability
Moreirense FC win (1)43%
Draw (X)26%
CF Estrela da Amadora win (2)32%

The model leans towards a Moreirense FC win at 43%. The single most likely scoreline is 1–1. These are estimates from past results, not certainties.

Over 2.5 goals
58%
Over 1.5 goals
82%
Both teams to score
62%
Expected goals
1.6 – 1.4

How this forecast is made

Probabilities come from each team's recent results, turned into expected goals and run through a Poisson model. Read how it works, including where it falls short.

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Football predictions are probability estimates and may change as data arrives. 18+ only. Play responsibly.