FC Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund prediction

Match forecast

The model leans towards a FC Bayern München win at 64%. The single most likely scoreline is 2–0. These are estimates from past results, not certainties.

Over 2.5 goals

53%

Over 1.5 goals

78%

Both teams to score

44%

Expected goals

2.1 – 0.7

How this forecast is made

Probabilities come from each team's recent results, turned into expected goals and run through a Poisson model. Read how it works, including where it falls short.

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