Primera Division

FC Barcelona vs Deportivo Alavés prediction

Match forecast

OutcomeProbability
FC Barcelona win (1)78%
Draw (X)14%
Deportivo Alavés win (2)8%

The model leans towards a FC Barcelona win at 78%. The single most likely scoreline is 3–0. These are estimates from past results, not certainties.

Over 2.5 goals
74%
Over 1.5 goals
90%
Both teams to score
51%
Expected goals
3.1 – 0.8

How this forecast is made

Probabilities come from each team's recent results, turned into expected goals and run through a Poisson model. Read how it works, including where it falls short.

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Football predictions are probability estimates and may change as data arrives. 18+ only. Play responsibly.