Primeira Liga
FC Arouca vs CD Nacional prediction
Match forecast
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| FC Arouca win (1) | 72% |
| Draw (X) | 18% |
| CD Nacional win (2) | 10% |
The model leans towards a FC Arouca win at 72%. The single most likely scoreline is 2–0. These are estimates from past results, not certainties.
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 80%
- Both teams to score
- 39%
- Expected goals
- 2.4 – 0.6
How this forecast is made
Probabilities come from each team's recent results, turned into expected goals and run through a Poisson model. Read how it works, including where it falls short.
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Football predictions are probability estimates and may change as data arrives. 18+ only. Play responsibly.