Derby County FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC prediction

Match forecast

The model leans towards a Bolton Wanderers FC win at 41%. The single most likely scoreline is 1–1. These are estimates from past results, not certainties.

Over 2.5 goals

49%

Over 1.5 goals

75%

Both teams to score

54%

Expected goals

1.1 – 1.5

How this forecast is made

Probabilities come from each team's recent results, turned into expected goals and run through a Poisson model. Read how it works, including where it falls short.