Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Chapecoense AF vs Mirassol FC prediction
Match forecast
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Chapecoense AF win (1) | 44% |
| Draw (X) | 29% |
| Mirassol FC win (2) | 28% |
The model leans towards a Chapecoense AF win at 44%. The single most likely scoreline is 1–1. These are estimates from past results, not certainties.
- Over 2.5 goals
- 40%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 68%
- Both teams to score
- 46%
- Expected goals
- 1.4 – 0.9
How this forecast is made
Probabilities come from each team's recent results, turned into expected goals and run through a Poisson model. Read how it works, including where it falls short.
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